On Thursday, BTIG made a significant adjustment to the price target for Okta, Inc (NASDAQ:), reducing it to $98.00 from the previous $128.00, while still recommending a Buy rating for the stock. The revised target follows observations from Okta’s Oktane 2024 user event and investor session, which took place in Las Vegas on October 16.
During the event, Okta’s management presented a balanced view of the company’s prospects. The discussions acknowledged ongoing challenges, such as the expected continuation of headwinds affecting workforce identity seat counts and monthly active users (MAUs) in customer identity through the first half of 2026.
Despite these issues, there is a potential upside from Okta’s engagement with large enterprise customers, introduction of new products, and market expansion efforts. However, these initiatives are anticipated to yield results over an extended period.
Further insights were gathered through conversations with nine industry contacts familiar with the identity space and Okta’s standing within it. The feedback, collected during the conference and in the days preceding, presented a mixed but generally negative outlook, with several partners pointing to near-term growth obstacles.
As a result of these findings, BTIG has revised its revenue estimate for Okta’s fiscal year 2026 downwards to $2,750 million, which represents a 7% year-over-year increase. This new estimate is a reduction from the previous forecast of $2,943 million and stands below the consensus estimate of $2,828 million on Wall Street.
The lowered price target to $98 per share from the earlier $128 reflects these adjustments and a cautious stance on the near-term growth trajectory, while the Buy rating indicates a continued positive long-term outlook on Okta’s stock.
InvestingPro Insights
While BTIG has adjusted its price target for Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ:OKTA), InvestingPro data offers additional context to the company’s financial health and market position. As of the last twelve months ending Q2 2025, Okta reported revenue of $2,452 million with a robust revenue growth of 18.74%. This growth, although strong, aligns with BTIG’s cautious stance on near-term growth prospects.
InvestingPro Tips highlight that Okta holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which could provide financial flexibility as the company navigates through the challenges mentioned in the article. Additionally, 31 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, suggesting some optimism in the financial community despite the headwinds discussed at the Oktane 2024 event.
The company’s impressive gross profit margins, noted as an InvestingPro Tip, are reflected in the data showing a gross profit margin of 75.82% for the last twelve months. This strong margin could be a key factor in Okta’s ability to invest in new products and market expansion efforts mentioned in the article.
For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 7 additional tips for Okta, providing a deeper understanding of the company’s financial position and future prospects.
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